This dashboard shows the projected impact of different scenarios using CMHC’s Integrated Housing Model.
Three scenarios are based on insights from our May 2025 report, Canada’s Housing Supply Shortages: Moving to a New Framework.
A business-as-usual scenario provides a baseline for comparison. The 3 supply-increasing scenarios show different ways housing supply could increase, including through improved construction productivity.
- Scenario 1: Additional supply — Increases housing supply to return affordability to pre-pandemic levels by 2035.
- Scenario 2: 10% Productivity increase — Assumes construction productivity rises by 10%.
- Scenario 3: 31% Productivity increase — Assumes construction productivity rises by 31%, matching the average productivity across all industries.
The dashboard also provides 2 additional scenarios showing updated estimates of the housing supply gap from 2026 to 2036. These update the business-as-usual scenario and Scenario 1: Additional supply using more recent estimates.
For a full analysis of these scenarios, read our Housing Supply Report.
Results are grouped into 4 categories:
- Housing supply
- Affordability
- Demographics
- Ownership
Filter the data by region to explore specific insights.
Share via Email